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National Academies committee sees promising but inconclusive evidence on interventions to prevent cognitive decline, dementia

NIA Office of Communications & Public Liaison | (301) 496-1752 |

Suggests NIH, others carefully cue public about potential benefits of cognitive training, blood pressure management, exercise

A Way Forward report coverThe public is enormously concerned about dementia and cognitive impairment, and a wide range of programs and products, such as diets, exercise regimens, games, and supplements, purport to keep these conditions at bay. It is difficult for individuals, health care providers and policy makers to ascertain what has been demonstrated to prevent or reduce risk. To help sort through the data and to understand the quality and weight of current evidence for possible interventions, the National Institute on Aging (NIA) at the National Institutes of Health, commissioned experts for an extensive scientific review and to provide recommendations for public health messaging and future research priorities. In response to that request, a National Academies of Sciences, Engineering and Medicine (NASEM) committee has concluded that current evidence does not support a mass public education campaign to encourage people to adopt specific interventions to prevent cognitive decline or dementia.

Importantly, the committee also cited "encouraging although inconclusive" evidence for three specific types of interventions—cognitive training, blood pressure control for people with hypertension, and increased physical activity. Based on that evidence, the committee recommended providing the public with accurate information about their potential positive impacts for some conditions while more definitive research on these and other approaches moves forward. The committee suggested that health care providers might include mention of the potential cognitive benefits of these interventions when promoting their adoption for the prevention or control of other diseases and conditions.

The full NASEM report, "Preventing Cognitive Decline and Dementia: A Way Forward," can be viewed online.

The committee's recommendations are based in large part on an NIA-requested and supported systematic evidence review by the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality's (AHRQ) Evidence-based Practice Center (EPC). The Minnesota EPC categorized hundreds of studies by strength and quality for the AHRQ part of the project.

"We're all urgently seeking ways to prevent dementia and cognitive decline with age," said NIA Director Richard J. Hodes, M.D. "But we must consider the strength of evidence -- or lack thereof -- in making decisions about personal and public investments in prevention. I am grateful for the National Academies' and AHRQ's careful reviews, which recognize the progress research has made in beginning to answer such questions, while pointing the way for additional studies. This report will be very instructive for what we can tell the public now, as critical research continues." 

The committee noted potential effects, as well as limitations of the evidence, for:

  • Cognitive training – Interventions aimed at enhancing reasoning, memory, and speed of processing, to delay or slow age-related cognitive decline were found promising, based primarily on conclusions from the NIA-funded Advanced Cognitive Training for Independent and Vital Elderly (ACTIVE) trial and bolstered by additional data from prospective observational studies on the benefits of cognitively stimulating activities.

    The committee cautioned, however, that it could not draw conclusions about the relative effectiveness of different cognitive training approaches or techniques. It also noted that there was no evidence to support the notion that beneficial long-term cognitive effects suggested by the ACTIVE trial could be applied to computer based brain training applications being offered commercially, as the suite of cognitive interventions in the ACTIVE trial were substantially different.

    The committee found no evidence to suggest that cognitive training might prevent, delay or slow development of Mild Cognitive Impairment (MCI) or Alzheimer's, however.
  • Blood pressure management for people with hypertension – Encouraging but inconclusive evidence suggests that blood pressure management, particularly in midlife, might prevent, delay or slow clinical Alzheimer's-type dementia, according to the committee. While clinical trials in this area do not offer strong support for blood pressure management against Alzheimer's, prospective population studies and what we have learned about the natural history and biology of the disease make it plausible, then, that blood pressure management for people with hypertension would also reduce their risk of dementia and cognitive decline, the report said. The committee pointed out the known cardiovascular benefits from well-managed blood pressure, which would be experienced while Alzheimer's prevention is potentially addressed.
  • Increased physical activity – Citing the many known health benefits of physical activity, the committee pointed to growing evidence that among these is the possible reduced risk of age-related cognitive decline. Here, too, the experts turned to what they called encouraging but inconclusive evidence, noting that clinical trials results in this area suggest effectiveness, taken together with observational studies and knowledge of neurobiological processes. There was not sufficient evidence to support increased physical activity as a preventive intervention for MCI or Alzheimer's disease, however. Further, the committee could not find sufficient evidence to help determine which specific types of physical activity might be particularly effective for preventing cognitive decline and dementia.

In communicating with the public, the committee said, the NIH, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and other organizations should present potential benefits of the three interventions as they apply to cognitive decline, MCI, and Alzheimer's dementia, while pointing out the limitations of the evidence. There are considerable challenges in presenting such nuanced messages, it added, as the public likely will not draw fine distinctions among the three conditions or about levels of evidence.

The committee expressed optimism for the future of research to provide answers that the public and providers are seeking. Substantial knowledge has been gained since the last comprehensive evidence review in 2010, and this complex and exciting area of discovery will continue to grow with investments in research. In addition to encouraging ongoing research in the three areas for which it found evidence most developed, the committee recommended as priority areas for further study: new anti-dementia treatments; treatments for diabetes and depression; dietary interventions; lipid-lowering treatments; sleep quality interventions; social engagement, and vitamin B12 plus folic acid supplementation.

For its evidence review, the AHRQ's EPC examined the scientific literature on 13 classes of interventions associated with preventing, slowing, or delaying the onset of clinical Alzheimer's-type dementia and MCI. The AHRQ report, issued in March 2017, found that most approaches showed no evidence of benefit to delay or prevent age-related cognitive decline, MCI, or Alzheimer's dementia. It concluded that, at present, there is not sufficient strength of evidence to justify large-scale investing in public health activities aimed at preventing dementia; some results may be viewed as potential added benefits to already identified public health interventions.

The full EPC review, with a full breakdown of findings for various approaches, is online.

UPDATED 12/20: The Annals of Internal Medicine published Dec. 19, 2017, four evidence-based reviews that served as the basis for the recommendations in the National Academies of Science, Engineering and Medicine (NASEM) report. The reviews were completed by the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality's (AHRQ's) Minnesota Evidence-based Practice Center at the request and support of the NIA for the public-messaging considerations of the NASEM Committee.

To read the review papers, click on the titles below:

Physical Activity Interventions in Preventing Cognitive Decline and Alzheimer-Type Dementia

Pharmacologic Interventions to Prevent Cognitive Decline, Mild Cognitive Impairment, and Clinical Alzheimer-Type Dementia

Over-the-Counter Supplement Interventions to Prevent Cognitive Decline, Mild Cognitive Impairment, and Clinical Alzheimer-Type Dementia

Does Cognitive Training Prevent Cognitive Decline?

To read two related editorials on recent evidence assessments in cognitive decline, impairment and Alzheimer's prevention, click the links below:

Prevention of Late-Life Dementia: No Magic Bullet

Modifiable Risk Factors and Prevention of Dementia: What Is the Latest Evidence?

About the National Institute on Aging: The NIA leads the federal government effort conducting and supporting research on aging and the health and well-being of older people. It provides information on age-related cognitive change and neurodegenerative disease specifically at its Alzheimer's Disease Education and Referral (ADEAR) Center. For additional information about cognitive health and older adults, go to NIA’s cognitive aging portal.

About the National Institutes of Health (NIH): NIH, the nation's medical research agency, includes 27 Institutes and Centers and is a component of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. NIH is the primary federal agency conducting and supporting basic, clinical, and translational medical research, and is investigating the causes, treatments, and cures for both common and rare diseases. For more information about NIH and its programs, visit

NIH…Turning Discovery into Health


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